Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Trevin Jones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raoni Barcelos has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Trevin Jones (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26 Trevin JonesL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Timur Valiev · Aug 20W
KOvs Mario Bautista · Mar 21L
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Aug 21L
vs Javid Basharat · Mar 22L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricTrevin Jones
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 2.57 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raoni BarcelosTrevin Jones
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Trevin Jones(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +99.7|Blue -99.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raoni BarcelosTargetTrevin Jones
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raoni Barcelos edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:10
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Raoni Barcelos edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control3:04
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Raoni Barcelos edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control1:53
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
