Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26 Belal MuhammadL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricBelal Muhammad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vicente LuqueBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +25.2|Blue -25.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vicente LuqueTargetBelal Muhammad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:15
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 2Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 3Vicente Luque edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 5Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
