Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Taylor Lapilus has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Taylor Lapilus has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Taylor Lapilus (53.5%).
- Taylor Lapilus has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Taylor LapilusW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Leandro Issa · Sep 16W
vs Caolan Loughran · Sep 23L
vs Farid Basharat · Jan 24W
vs Cody Stamann · Jun 24W
vs Vince Morales · Sep 24 Rocky LeeNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Taylor LapilusMetricRocky Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.98Δ 4.84 — meaningful gap-2.86
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Taylor Lapilus(8 fights)Rocky Lee(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.0|Blue -20.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Taylor LapilusTargetRocky Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:27
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:28Control
Round 2Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:30
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:29Control
Round 3Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns2
Control1:03
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
