Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Collier enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake CollierL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Carlos Felipe · Jun 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23 Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Parker Porter · Aug 21L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake CollierMetricChase Sherman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake CollierChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Collier(10 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.0|Blue -15.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake CollierTargetChase Sherman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Collier edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:07
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
