Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Bibulatov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed Bibulatov
oldest →L
KOvs John Moraga · Oct 17 Rogerio Bontorin
oldest →W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Mar 21W
vs Matt Schnell · May 21L
vs Brandon Royval · Jan 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed BibulatovMetricRogerio Bontorin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Magomed BibulatovRogerio Bontorin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Bibulatov(3 fights)Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -123.8|Blue +123.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Magomed BibulatovTargetRogerio Bontorin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Magomed Bibulatov rounds
Round 1Magomed Bibulatov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control0:20
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:59Control
Round 2Magomed Bibulatov edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:03
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Magomed Bibulatov edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:54
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
