Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manvel GamburyanL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14W
vs Scott Jorgensen · Jul 15L
KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16L
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Nov 16 latest Diego Nunes
oldest →L
vs Kenny Florian · Jun 11L
vs Dennis Siver · Apr 12W
vs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 12 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manvel GamburyanMetricDiego Nunes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manvel GamburyanDiego Nunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)Diego Nunes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -131.7|Blue +131.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -15.0|Blue +15.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manvel GamburyanTargetDiego Nunes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:52
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Manvel Gamburyan edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:15
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Diego Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:25
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control