Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ciryl Gane has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Nov 18W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21 Ciryl Gane
oldest →L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis NgannouMetricCiryl Gane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.17Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francis NgannouCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Ngannou(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.5|Blue +35.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francis NgannouTargetCiryl Gane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:40
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:13
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Francis Ngannou edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control1:55
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 4Francis Ngannou edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control2:57
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:44
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:39Control
