Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan DunhamL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 15L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20 Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 16W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Sep 17L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan DunhamMetricOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.79Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Evan DunhamOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Dunham(10 fights)Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.1|Blue -10.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +364.0|Blue -364.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Evan DunhamTargetOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Olivier Aubin-Mercier rounds
Round 1Olivier Aubin-Mercier edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
