Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vince Morales enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vince MoralesL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 22L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 24L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25L
DECvs Colby Thicknesse · May 26 Elijah SmithW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 25W
SUBvs SuYoung You · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vince MoralesMetricElijah Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.37Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vince MoralesElijah Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vince Morales(10 fights)Elijah Smith(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -94.3|Blue +94.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vince MoralesTargetElijah Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Elijah Smith edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 2Vince Morales edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:02
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:08Control
Round 3Elijah Smith edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:05
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
