Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Matthew Semelsberger has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khaos Williams
oldest →W
vs Rolando Bedoya · May 23W
KOvs Carlston Harris · May 24L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Feb 25L
vs Andreas Gustafsson · Jun 25W
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · May 26 Matthew SemelsbergerL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khaos WilliamsMetricMatthew Semelsberger
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.45evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Khaos WilliamsMatthew Semelsberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khaos Williams(10 fights)Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.7|Blue -24.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Khaos WilliamsTargetMatthew Semelsberger
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Matthew Semelsberger rounds
Round 1Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:21
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:30
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:02
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
