Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Augusto Sakai enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Don'Tale Mayes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Augusto Sakai has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Augusto SakaiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 20L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22 Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Augusto SakaiMetricDon'Tale Mayes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Augusto SakaiDon'Tale Mayes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Augusto Sakai(9 fights)Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.1|Blue -14.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -231.0|Blue +231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Augusto SakaiTargetDon'Tale Mayes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Augusto Sakai edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:58
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Round 2Augusto Sakai edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control2:52
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Round 3Augusto Sakai edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control3:01
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
