Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Randa Markos
oldest →L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricRanda Markos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.68evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carla EsparzaRanda Markos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.2|Blue -3.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carla EsparzaTargetRanda Markos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Randa Markos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:15
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:06
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control0:24
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
