← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1562

Andrei ArlovskivsWaldo Cortes-AcostaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Saturday, January 13, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(74.6%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at -620 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Andrei Arlovski

Red Corner

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Blue Corner

+400

(20%)

Vegas Odds

-620

(86%)

1492

Elo

1562

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'4"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrei ArlovskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Vanderaa · Feb 22

vs Jake Collier · Apr 22

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22

KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23

vs Martin Buday · Jun 24

latest

Waldo Cortes-AcostaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Vanderaa · Oct 22

vs Chase Sherman · Nov 22

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 23

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Aug 23

vs Robelis Despaigne · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrei ArlovskiMetricWaldo Cortes-Acosta

3.82

Strikes / min

—

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

—

57%

Strike defense

—

0.37

TDs / 15 min

—

76%

Takedown defense

—

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrei ArlovskiWaldo Cortes-Acosta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -69.3|Blue +69.3

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Andrei Arlovski

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights27

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3