Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Silva has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Gustafsson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22 Thiago SilvaW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Feijao · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander GustafssonMetricThiago Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50evenly matched on net striking+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander GustafssonThiago Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)Thiago Silva(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.8|Blue +59.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander GustafssonTargetThiago Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexander Gustafsson rounds
Round 1Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:27
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
