Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Reyes has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Reyes
oldest →L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25W
DECvs Johnny Walker · Apr 26 Anthony SmithL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick ReyesMetricAnthony Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.59Δ 3.44 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dominick ReyesAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +37.0|Blue -37.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dominick ReyesTargetAnthony Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes73
Takedowns0
Control3:51
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
