← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Stefan Struve won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1391

Elo1351

Stefan StruvevsSean McCorkleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · Saturday, December 11, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Stefan Struve won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:55

Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsSean McCorkle: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Stefan Struve wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stefan Struve at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Sean McCorkle has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stefan Struve threatens submissions; Sean McCorkle has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Stefan Struve has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Stefan Struve

Red Corner

Sean McCorkle

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1391

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'11"

Height

6'7"

213.36 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stefan StruveL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20

latest

Sean McCorkle

oldest →

SUBvs Mark Hunt · Sep 10

SUBvs Christian Morecraft · Mar 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stefan StruveMetricSean McCorkle

3.12

Strikes / min

0.85

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

2.48

46%

Strike defense

52%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

2.12

55%

Takedown defense

33%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

4.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stefan StruveSean McCorkle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stefan Struve(10 fights)Sean McCorkle(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +39.6|Blue -39.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stefan StruveTargetSean McCorkle

By target zone

58% acc · 100%

Head

44% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

25% acc · 9%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

67% acc · 91%

Ground

50% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stefan Struve rounds

even

Sean McCorkle rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:16

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:08Control

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 19

Sig Strikes

4 / 9

57%

Sig Str %

44%

18 / 27

Total Strikes

8 / 13

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:16

Ctrl Time

3:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean McCorkle	4 / 9	8 / 13	1 / 1	2
1	Stefan Struve	11 / 19	18 / 27	0 / 0	0

Stefan Struve

StanceOrthodox

Height83.0"

Reach84.0"

Fights20

Sean McCorkle

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights3