Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Muhammad Mokaev threatens submissions; Jafel Filho has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Jafel Filho has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Oct 22W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23 Jafel Filho
oldest →W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23W
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25L
DECvs Cody Durden · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricJafel Filho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muhammad MokaevJafel Filho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Jafel Filho(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.3|Blue -24.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muhammad MokaevTargetJafel Filho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control3:40
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:20
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns3
Control3:15
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
