Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cain Velasquez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Cain Velasquez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cain Velasquez
oldest →W
vs Junior Dos Santos · Dec 12W
KOvs Antonio Silva · May 13L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 15W
KOvs Travis Browne · Jul 16L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Feb 19 Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cain VelasquezMetricJunior Dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+4.04Δ 2.88 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cain VelasquezJunior Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cain Velasquez(9 fights)Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +98.8|Blue -98.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cain VelasquezTargetJunior Dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Cain Velasquez edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control4:03
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cain Velasquez edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control3:41
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Cain Velasquez edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control3:37
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 4Cain Velasquez edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control3:26
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Cain Velasquez edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:36
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
