Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricVolkan Oezdemir
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul CraigVolkan Oezdemir
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -42.5|Blue +42.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul CraigTargetVolkan Oezdemir
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:07
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:01Control
Round 2Volkan Oezdemir edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 3Volkan Oezdemir edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
