Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Miles Johns has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25 Kevin NatividadL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Apr 21L
vs Ricky Turcios · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miles JohnsMetricKevin Natividad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.37Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-1.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miles JohnsKevin Natividad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miles Johns(10 fights)Kevin Natividad(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.9|Blue -38.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miles JohnsTargetKevin Natividad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:51
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:36
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Miles Johns edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:36
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
