Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bo Nickal has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bo Nickal has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bo Nickal (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bo Nickal
oldest →W
KOvs Val Woodburn · Jul 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24L
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · May 25W
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Jun 26 Rodolfo Vieira
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24L
vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25W
vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25L
DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bo NickalMetricRodolfo Vieira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.28Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bo NickalRodolfo Vieira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bo Nickal(7 fights)Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +60.5|Blue -60.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bo NickalTargetRodolfo Vieira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bo Nickal edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns2
Control1:05
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Bo Nickal edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:23
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 3Bo Nickal edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
