Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Nicholson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25 Alex Nicholson
oldest →L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 16W
KOvs Devin Clark · Jul 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricAlex Nicholson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.43Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack HermanssonAlex Nicholson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Alex Nicholson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +120.0|Blue -120.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack HermanssonTargetAlex Nicholson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:39
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
