Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Malley has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Marlon VeraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Mar 23W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean O'MalleyMetricMarlon Vera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.65Δ 3.81 — meaningful gap-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean O'MalleyMarlon Vera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.4|Blue -58.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean O'MalleyTargetMarlon Vera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes51
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:03
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes56
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes61
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
