Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Thatch enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Benson Henderson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Thatch (54.1%).
- Brandon Thatch has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benson Henderson
oldest →W
vs Josh Thomson · Jan 14W
SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14L
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15 Brandon ThatchL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Justin Edwards · Aug 13W
KOvs Paulo Thiago · Nov 13L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Jul 15L
SUBvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Mar 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Dec 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benson HendersonMetricBrandon Thatch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.14Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Benson HendersonBrandon Thatch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benson Henderson(10 fights)Brandon Thatch(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +131.6|Blue -131.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.8|Blue -2.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -435.0|Blue +435.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Benson HendersonTargetBrandon Thatch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Benson Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brandon Thatch edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3Benson Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:59
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 4Benson Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control1:35
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
