Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brad Pickett has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17 Damacio PageL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brian Bowles · Mar 11L
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Jul 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricDamacio Page
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettDamacio Page
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Damacio Page(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.1|Blue -8.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -247.0|Blue +247.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetDamacio Page
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns4
Control3:13
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control2:25
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
