Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Riddle has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Riddle (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12 Greg Soto
oldest →W
vs Nick Osipczak · Aug 10L
SUBvs Daniel Roberts · Jan 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricGreg Soto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew RiddleGreg Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)Greg Soto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew RiddleTargetGreg Soto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control2:27
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control4:16
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:53
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
