Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renee Forte has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renee Forte
oldest →L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Oct 12L
KOvs John Makdessi · Sep 13 Francisco TrevinoL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sage Northcutt · Oct 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renee ForteMetricFrancisco Trevino
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Renee ForteFrancisco Trevino
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renee Forte(4 fights)Francisco Trevino(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.5|Blue +2.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Renee ForteTargetFrancisco Trevino
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Francisco Trevino rounds
Round 1Renee Forte edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control2:51
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Francisco Trevino edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control0:43
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 3Francisco Trevino edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:59
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
