Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Talita Bernardo
oldest →L
vs Irene Aldana · Jan 18L
KOvs Viviane Araujo · May 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marion ReneauMetricTalita Bernardo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marion ReneauTalita Bernardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Talita Bernardo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -87.8|Blue +87.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.3|Blue +47.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marion ReneauTargetTalita Bernardo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Talita Bernardo edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:13
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:37Control
Round 2Marion Reneau edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:59
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 3Marion Reneau edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control2:16
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
