Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pierce has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- David Mitchell has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PierceL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Jun 12W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15 David Mitchell
oldest →L
vs TJ Waldburger · Sep 10L
vs Paulo Thiago · Aug 11W
vs Simeon Thoresen · Jan 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PierceMetricDavid Mitchell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike PierceDavid Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pierce(10 fights)David Mitchell(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +43.0|Blue -43.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike PierceTargetDavid Mitchell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control3:09
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:31
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
