Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny CastilloL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Charlie Brenneman · Apr 14L
vs Tony Ferguson · Aug 14L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jan 15 Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny CastilloMetricEdson Barboza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.61Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Danny CastilloEdson Barboza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Castillo(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -123.9|Blue +123.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Danny CastilloTargetEdson Barboza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Danny Castillo edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns1
Control3:02
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
