Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyson Pedro has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyson Pedro
oldest →W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24 Saparbeg Safarov
oldest →L
KOvs Gian Villante · Dec 16W
vs Nicolae Negumereanu · Mar 19L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyson PedroMetricSaparbeg Safarov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51evenly matched on net striking+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tyson PedroSaparbeg Safarov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyson Pedro(10 fights)Saparbeg Safarov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.6|Blue -8.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -274.0|Blue +274.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tyson PedroTargetSaparbeg Safarov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Saparbeg Safarov edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:01
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:18Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
