Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gregor Gillespie has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gregor Gillespie
oldest →W
SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Sep 17W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21 Vinc PichelL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 21L
vs Ismael Bonfim · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gregor GillespieMetricVinc Pichel
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.44evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gregor GillespieVinc Pichel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)Vinc Pichel(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.9|Blue -5.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gregor GillespieTargetVinc Pichel
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gregor Gillespie edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns4
Control4:06
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gregor Gillespie edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns3
Control3:45
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
