Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Patterson threatens submissions; Kiefer Crosbie has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kiefer Crosbie (52.9%).
- Sam Patterson has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam Patterson
oldest →W
SUBvs Yohan Lainesse · Jan 24W
KOvs Danny Barlow · Mar 25W
KOvs Trey Waters · Sep 25L
vs Michael Page · Mar 26W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 26 Kiefer CrosbieL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 23L
KOvs Taiyilake Nueraji · Aug 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam PattersonMetricKiefer Crosbie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking-1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam PattersonKiefer Crosbie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Patterson(7 fights)Kiefer Crosbie(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +84.4|Blue -84.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam PattersonTargetKiefer Crosbie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sam Patterson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:56
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
