Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Hathaway
oldest →W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10W
vs John Maguire · Sep 12L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Mar 14 Pascal Krauss
oldest →W
vs Mark Scanlon · Nov 10L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HathawayMetricPascal Krauss
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.60evenly matched on net striking+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John HathawayPascal Krauss
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Hathaway(6 fights)Pascal Krauss(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John HathawayTargetPascal Krauss
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control1:16
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control2:20
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 3John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control1:24
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
