Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Lytle threatens submissions; Matt Brown has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Matt Brown has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Lytle
oldest →L
vs Brian Ebersole · Feb 11W
SUBvs Dan Hardy · Aug 11 Matt Brown
oldest →L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris LytleMetricMatt Brown
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.73evenly matched on net striking+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris LytleMatt Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Lytle(4 fights)Matt Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.4|Blue +8.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +47.8|Blue -47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris LytleTargetMatt Brown
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:14
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:41Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Chris Lytle edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:13
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
