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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Navajo Stirling won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1468
Jan Blachowicz editorial illustration
Elo1617
Navajo Stirling

Jan BlachowiczvsNavajo StirlingUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Official fight result

Navajo Stirling won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:56

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Navajo Stirling

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Navajo Stirling at -320 American odds · hypothetical only

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsNavajo Stirling: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Navajo Stirling enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Navajo Stirling
Blue Corner
+252
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
1468
Elo
1617
43
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jan Blachowicz
oldest →
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21
W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22
L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25
D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25
latest
Navajo StirlingW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Tuco Tokkos · Dec 24
W
vs Ivan Erslan · May 25
W
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25
W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · Mar 26
W
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jan BlachowiczMetricNavajo Stirling
3.55
Strikes / min
6.25
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
52%
Strike defense
58%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.98
69%
Takedown defense
82%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap+3.58
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501495154015851630← oldermost recent →
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Navajo Stirling(6 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jan BlachowiczTargetNavajo Stirling

By target zone

1
20% acc · 33%
Head
22
73% acc · 63%
2
100% acc · 67%
Body
3
60% acc · 9%
0
Leg
10
91% acc · 29%

By position

3
60% acc · 100%
Distance
15
68% acc · 43%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0
Ground
20
83% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jan Blachowicz rounds
0
even
1
Navajo Stirling rounds
Round 1Navajo Stirling edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:04
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 7
Sig Strikes
35 / 46
42%
Sig Str %
76%
6 / 11
Total Strikes
36 / 47
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
1:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Navajo Stirling35 / 4636 / 470 / 10
1Jan Blachowicz3 / 76 / 110 / 00

The Pick

Vegas favorite
Navajo Stirling
Odds
-320

Market-implied probability

Navajo Stirling 73%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Jan Blachowicz$352
Navajo Stirling (model pick · research)$131

73% market-implied · model 63% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 19, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC · never rewritten

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights23

Navajo Stirling

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6