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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Matheus Camilo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1501

Elo1534

Nazim SadykhovvsMatheus CamiloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Matheus Camilo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:31

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Matheus Camilo

Style matchupNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fightervsMatheus Camilo: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov wins(73.5%)

Actual result: Matheus Camilo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Matheus Camilo is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nazim Sadykhov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Matheus Camilo has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nazim Sadykhov has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nazim Sadykhov

Red Corner

Matheus Camilo

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1501

Elo

1534

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nazim Sadykhov

oldest →

KOvs Evan Elder · Feb 23

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 23

KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Feb 25

KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 25

KOvs Fares Ziam · Dec 25

latest

Matheus Camilo

oldest →

SUBvs Gabe Green · May 25

vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nazim SadykhovMetricMatheus Camilo

4.79

Strikes / min

2.19

5.49

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

49%

Strike defense

64%

1.10

TDs / 15 min

4.43

72%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-1.06

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)Matheus Camilo(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.0|Blue +33.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nazim SadykhovTargetMatheus Camilo

By target zone

0% acc

Head

38% acc · 75%

0% acc

Body

0% acc

Leg

50% acc · 25%

By position

0% acc

Distance

33% acc · 50%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nazim Sadykhov rounds

even

Matheus Camilo rounds

Round 1Matheus Camilo edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 16

Sig Strikes

4 / 10

Sig Str %

40%

0 / 16

Total Strikes

4 / 10

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Matheus Camilo	4 / 10	4 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Nazim Sadykhov	0 / 16	0 / 16	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 41% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Matheus Camilo

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3