Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke threatens submissions; Al Iaquinta has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Al Iaquinta has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Al Iaquinta has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Al IaquintaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21 Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Al IaquintaMetricMitch Clarke
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Al IaquintaMitch Clarke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Al Iaquinta(10 fights)Mitch Clarke(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -231.0|Blue +231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Al IaquintaTargetMitch Clarke
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Al Iaquinta edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control4:04
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Al Iaquinta edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:27
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
