Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Alex Caceres has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Chase Hooper
oldest →W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26W
SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricChase Hooper
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.12evenly matched on net striking+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex CaceresChase Hooper
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Chase Hooper(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.0|Blue +25.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex CaceresTargetChase Hooper
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Caceres edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Alex Caceres edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:04
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:27Control
Round 3Alex Caceres edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control1:15
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
