Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michael Aswell Jr. is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Lucas Almeida has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lucas Almeida
oldest →W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Jun 24 Michael Aswell Jr.L3 streak
oldest →L
DECvs Gaston Bolanos · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lucas AlmeidaMetricMichael Aswell Jr.
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lucas AlmeidaMichael Aswell Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lucas Almeida(6 fights)Michael Aswell Jr.(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.2|Blue -14.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lucas AlmeidaTargetMichael Aswell Jr.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Michael Aswell Jr. rounds
Round 1Michael Aswell Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
