Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Fili has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26 Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Jul 22W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre FiliMetricBill Algeo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+1.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andre FiliBill Algeo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Fili(10 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -18.4|Blue +18.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andre FiliTargetBill Algeo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:18
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:11
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:49
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
