Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Till has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dricus Du Plessis (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren TillL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 18L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21 Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24W
SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25W
DECvs Kamaru Usman · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren TillMetricDricus Du Plessis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.01Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren TillDricus Du Plessis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Till(10 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -98.5|Blue +98.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +301.0|Blue -301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren TillTargetDricus Du Plessis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Dricus Du Plessis rounds
Round 1Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:23
60Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:56Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:27Control
Round 3Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
