Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bogdan Grad is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad Naimov
oldest →W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Dec 25 Bogdan Grad
oldest →W
KOvs Lucas Alexander · Feb 25L
KOvs Luke Riley · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricBogdan Grad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.84evenly matched on net striking-1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muhammad NaimovBogdan Grad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Bogdan Grad(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +33.0|Blue -33.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muhammad NaimovTargetBogdan Grad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bogdan Grad edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:23
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:04Control
Round 2Bogdan Grad edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:01Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:30
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:04Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
