Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Max Griffin has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago AlvesL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 17L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19 Max GriffinL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25L
DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago AlvesMetricMax Griffin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.31evenly matched on net striking+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago AlvesMax Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Alves(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -91.8|Blue +91.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago AlvesTargetMax Griffin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Max Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
57Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:16
44Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Max Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:57
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:42Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
