Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Irina Alekseeva threatens submissions; Melissa Mullins has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Melissa Mullins has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irina AlekseevaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Apr 23L
vs Klaudia Sygula · Jun 25L
SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Oct 25 Melissa MullinsL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 24W
KOvs Klaudia Sygula · Nov 24L
vs Daria Zhelezniakova · Jun 25L
SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irina AlekseevaMetricMelissa Mullins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.60evenly matched on net striking-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Irina AlekseevaMelissa Mullins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irina Alekseeva(4 fights)Melissa Mullins(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Irina AlekseevaTargetMelissa Mullins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Irina Alekseeva edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:39
Knockdowns1
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:26Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Melissa Mullins edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:43Control
Round 3Melissa Mullins edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:11
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
