Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Miranda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Collier has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor MirandaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Clint Hester · Aug 15W
KOvs Marcelo Guimaraes · Mar 16L
vs Chris Camozzi · May 16L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 17 Jake CollierL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor MirandaMetricJake Collier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vitor MirandaJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Miranda(7 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -107.2|Blue +107.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vitor MirandaTargetJake Collier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Collier edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:01
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:04Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
