Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carlos Junior threatens submissions; Jack Marshman has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21 Jack MarshmanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Karl Roberson · Nov 18W
vs John Phillips · Mar 19L
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jul 19L
vs Sean Strickland · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricJack Marshman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Antonio Carlos JuniorJack Marshman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Jack Marshman(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.9|Blue -3.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +198.0|Blue -198.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Antonio Carlos JuniorTargetJack Marshman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Antonio Carlos Junior rounds
Round 1Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:09
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
