Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey Kenney has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Casey Kenney has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
- Casey Kenney has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →W
vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricCasey Kenney
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ray BorgCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +86.4|Blue -86.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ray BorgTargetCasey Kenney
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Casey Kenney edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:36
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:38Control
Round 2Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns3
Control2:36
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 3Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns3
Control2:18
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:51Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
