Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Salas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Salas has 39pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Wall has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin SalasL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16 Ben Wall
oldest →L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin SalasMetricBen Wall
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.46Δ 7.52 — meaningful gap-7.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Justin SalasBen Wall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Salas(7 fights)Ben Wall(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.3|Blue -3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +27.0|Blue -27.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Justin SalasTargetBen Wall
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Salas edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:42
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
