Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Muhammad Mokaev threatens submissions; Malcolm Gordon has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Muhammad Mokaev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23 Malcolm GordonL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Su Mudaerji · Nov 20W
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21W
KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22L
KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23L
SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricMalcolm Gordon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muhammad MokaevMalcolm Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +36.4|Blue -36.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muhammad MokaevTargetMalcolm Gordon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control4:20
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:06
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 3Malcolm Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns2
Control2:52
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
